The starting position remains fundamentally positive: acreage has been expanded in Italy and the fields in Spain and Portugal are also well cultivated. At first glance, there is much to suggest a stable season. At the same time, however, other factors are coming more into focus - in particular energy and transportation costs. In addition, there are uncertainties in the international flow of goods: around 50,000 tons of tomato products from Iran, which usually go to Europe, and a further 100,000 tons for Iraq are currently difficult to estimate. It is unclear whether and how these quantities will reach the market at all - and how they may shift. In Turkey, planting took place later and reliable information on harvest volumes and commodity prices is still pending. In addition, markets such as Spain and Chile have already been tied up early on by large processors. What does this mean for the 2026 season? Good harvest prospects alone are not enough to guarantee stability. Availability remains difficult to calculate and price trends remain volatile.